Three pointers for those who like to back their judgement with hard cash.
1. Greece Factor - pick a team that can genuinely upset the current world order. Gemany would be my bet, domestic scene deluged with non Germans, coach based in USA, Ballack the subject of envious stick, they are on home soil, they always do what is needed. Good at penalties too.
2. Pick a goal scorer who might not be in Berlin on the last day of the tournament - Pauleta is an absolute goal mine. He scores for fun in mediocre teams, his group matches include two unfancied countries with reputedly poor defences, Portugal's path to the the round of sixteen looks easier than anyone else's.
3. Check out the odds for a Steven Gerrard red card. Fifa love to introduce an element of "fun" into the refereeing directives at the earliest stage and Stevie is just the kind of wholehearted individual who falls foul of these petty bureaucrats.
Enjoy it when it comes.
I'm off to do a Yahoo! search for my nearest McDonalds or Budweiser oultet to see if I can prove myself to be not only a true fan but a lucky one.
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